Hope I'm wrong...23 Feb 2018 18:25
...but I'm not sure how results can be anywhere near adequate unless the expensively assembled salesforce really manage to pull sthg out of the bag.
Last fwd looking statement indicated they'll struggle to hit target on Tuiz even in a record flu season, and that the drugs they're resubmitting (a very costly process) thru their bumbling partner Tris may not sell well anyway as they are narcotic based.
They are targeting prescriptions rather than sales off the shelf but in the same breath say prescriptions are decreasing overall as well, at a time they need "exponential" increases.
They then have the audacity to suggest their non-narcotic drug might do the job instead, despite the fact it's way off NDA application and has just one $ (<50m potential) next to it on their pipeline description page.
Add to that significant, accelerated cash burn running alongside their underperforming, limited product range, and I really am considering selling even if it's just to save the nominal amount my holding is now valued at! Apparently their previously considerable cash reserve will be gone within a year, so what then? Can anyone please tell me anything positive to go on in the meantime?
Perhaps they can they change direction and focus purely on R&D so they can stay as a going concern before it's too late?
As a strict rule I never deramp. But I am very disappointed in myself for believing the above negative news was already "priced in" and thinking it might be undervalued - hoping for Tris to succeed in the meantime - when clearly it wasn't.
I'm massively underwater here as everyone is, but I just want to give my tuppence worth so anyone thinking about catching this falling knife has a wee bit more info to hand. Like I said, I hope I'm wrong, but this is definitely my 'least favorite' share right now, and I hold redx!