RE: Visible Gold mineralisation15 Apr 2021 08:46
No Assay’s but here’s an Essay for the morning :)
We had a big rise in the New Year with xxxm volume on consecutive days, but didn't have results to sustain the rise and the company issued an RNS.
LTHs (inc. me) that bought or added into the rise may currently be sitting on a loss, some big. As snippets of positivity come in like visible gold in Lawa, or TL's buy we see a small rise and increase in volume, but then settle back again. However if you look at the previous two years range of ~ .4p , the progress, a clear AND funded 2021 plan, you can see that sentiment and potential is getting recognised and I'd hope we've found a new support level waiting for news. (I am not a chartist).
But for any investors who think this is a golden ticket, ORR is still a risk. As we quantify the potential resources and with each piece of positive news, in my mind it becomes increasingly de-risked. By how much? Nobody knows, I personally look around other similar companies and see no reason this cannot be a £150m+ company, but we need confirmation of quality and size of resource. That is my opinion, not a valuation, not (yet) based on facts and is also obvious; Resource = Value.
So basically it is currently unknown where with good news(or bad) the SP will re-rate and how quickly, and what/if any money calls will be made from any rise to support further investment and drilling in 2022 for the other 5 licenses we picked up in Cameroon. These offer even more potential but require investment as they are in a more junior state than the Bakassi and Lawa. Though this is why I retain confidence in ORR as we have multiple opportunities.
I could have picked any number of gold prospecting companies that are in similar positions but I feel that first in Cameroon is unique and will give better chance for expedited growth than being one of a crowd. I could be wrong on all counts and lose everything, but that is my choice based on my research and hope in equal measure. I could also have waited for results before going in big, but with reduced risk comes reduced profit, and unlike a roulette this isn’t 100% a guess.
I don’t have fully rose tinted spectacles on though. I was really disappointed with the handling of news from Senegal and was openly critical of the board and communications/partnership with IAMGOLD. But already since then, I see increased news flow and positivity from them, the company hitting deadlines, keeping the market updated, so pleased with the response.
In summary, news is imminent. Good grades and who knows, bad grades and the inevitable SP impact, but all will not be lost as there are still results to come from Senala and the additional Cameroon licenses which for 2021 are still in their infancy, no doubt with another raise though we still have some warrant potential to help cover some of the future funding reqs.
For now though, my focus is on a Gold Pipe from hole #5 - Come on ORR!