Realistic optimism17 Apr 2026 07:36
Lots of great positive posts and don’t really want to temper enthusiasm but do want to bring a dose of realism.
The companies own assessment of Mbe fair value for 1moz factoring in 50% ownership was $52.5m in the chart they shared comparing average value of African peers.
Aligning this to 1.23m oz, converting back into GBP aligns to just under 1p per share.
We obviously have MANY other licenses but ALL are far from production and getting resources out of the ground.
Our value in Cameroon is driven by proving our a new gold district and partnering together with the government to demonstrate the country is ready, willing and importantly has the reserves to be a significant gold producer.
Further exploration costs money, we are good with Mbe for step out, to progress the great results out of Ndom will be dilutive, either project based in license through a JV or through a raise as despite I am assuming still a decent amount of reserves in the bank, as previously mentioned we are top heavy when it comes to admin costs so I personally don’t expect further ‘significant’ CLP progress in the near term without some further agreements, which I might add I would see as positive.
If we take Bibemi, the Exploitation license is the signal, and our CEO in the last presentation referenced a desire to move to be a producer. But in doing so needs funding. Traditional funding based on the current Bibemi MRE whilst not impossible is unlikely and further investment would likely be needed, Mbe are however a great partner that certainly add credibility to this and could further support the partnership in that regard, but it won’t be for free.
This is not that same a GGP or others in established countries, we have what on current data looks like a FANTASTIC set of licenses and whilst a shoot up to 3p would mean an immediate resignation and early retirement, I see steady progress this year, a rerate around the 1p mark, hopefully more with more news on our other licenses and JVs like Senala but my nervousness increases the longer we don’t get the Exploitation License. These things are massively complex, challenging and more so given African politics and particularly those in Cameroon.
Summary:
Dare to dream, if EVERYTHING aligned £300m+ is a reality but it’s not a 2026 one in my opinion.
But exiting the year with an exploitation license, a committed partner, a funded position JV or otherwise to explore more of our license package and an SP north of 1p is progress, which in 2027 could lead to a multi pence takeover.
To be clear I have no more insights than anyone else on here, possibly less knowledge than a lot of you, but a damn sight more invested than most of you and need this to be a success.
GLA, let’s keep positive healthy dialogue going on the board and give them both a tough time asking what’s the plan and a pat on the back for a good few months in the upcoming investor presentation.