RE: Todays Shares Magazine AJ Bell18 Feb 2021 15:01
THE 'RACY' ONE
Micro Focus (MCRO) 466p. Market cap: £1.6 billion. 12-month forward PE: 4.5
Infrastructure software supplier Micro Focus (MCRO) divides opinion like few other stocks. ‘Cheap for a reason’ is a typical response, which given its debt level and a surprise $2.8 billion writedown of goodwill in the 2020 results doesn’t seem unjustified.
The firm began its three-year turnaround plan in January last year, which was unfortunate timing, but if anything, the pandemic has forced it to grasp the nettle and cut down on unnecessary spending while focusing on key areas of opportunity.
The firm’s new guidance is for revenues to stabilise in the 2023 financial year, while its in-house IT infrastructure plan starting this year will generate further operational improvements and efficiencies.
For us, with the shares down 40% since last February, it’s a binary bet. Either the firm does what it promised which means the shares
rerate, or it keeps disappointing and gets taken over by a private equity firm. This is a high-risk investment and investors should only get involved if they have money they can afford to lose.