RE: Food for thought...6 Jan 2021 12:09
Remember this insightful article from August...Livermore are a significant investor...plenty of insights here...
https://www.mergermarket.com/info/solgold-go-it-alone-strategy-debated-ahead-october-showdown-–-shareholders-bankers
"If BHP were not restricted until October it would likely have already made an offer for the business, this banker speculated. Newcrest is less likely to seek an all-out acquisition of SolGold, this banker and two further bankers said."
"SolGold is right for consolidation, he said, so it must either be sold or build the Cascabel project itself, but it is difficult to see how current management can do that on its own. There is a lot of value in Solgold’s assets and a sale of the company would be desirable, he added.
As with Newcrest’s stake review, Livermore wants to get some perspective on the situation, Neuhauser said.
It may be the tactic is to attract an offer, and that COVID-19 might have slowed down a potential sale, but given that management own a large stake in the business it may also be focusing on developing the company itself, he said.
“You don’t want to get stuck in this asset, you want movement on an offer or on the Cascabel project, which has massive potential,” Neuhauser said
BHP is most likely interested in owning Cascabel given that so very few assets of this size are available in the world, Macdonald said. “It is a monster.”"
"“With copper prices on the up, and gold going gangbusters, I think someone will make a move towards end of the year,” Macdonald said. “We want to launch a strategic review and sale process in order to open up the data room to a wider universe of companies and get competitive tension to maximise value for shareholders.”
The sale process could be structured in such a way as to allow third parties to competitively bid, given the concentrated ownership, and that would support a friendly deal and encourage success, he said.
Timing is important because, at the end of October, the first 12-year concession period will have only two years remaining and so a feasibility study needs to be completed, Macdonald noted. A major miner will want to conduct this study itself, in-house, rather than rely on SolGold to do so, he added.
SolGold may believe that by convincing the world that it is going to build the mine itself then it will encourage BHP, Newcrest or another party to swoop down with an attractive premium offer, Macdonald suggested."
Etc......