more shares3 Aug 2011 20:09
After the rescue from oblivion the sp reached 45p - an overreaction and anticipation of a quick economic recovery and the feeling that the large debt would go away gradually in a few years.
The sp then steadied since the last finals at around 24p imo a fair price for the company 6 months ago. We could easily see the eqivalent to this by the end of the year - but this will now be around 16-17p given the dilution.
20p is my new target, but realistically sp could only appreciate slowly from the 17p level, depending on perceived economic conditions.
What I can't quite get my head round at the moment is what the forecast eps will be once the rights issue is all completed. It will be much less because of dilution, but less interest to pay will mean eps should go up.