My thoughts11 Aug 2025 15:29
As promised my thoughts on the RNS releases and interviews.
RNS
They've managed to produce saleable product, however, despite extensive test work by the OEMover the last year or more, the introduction of the new float cells and reagents, the product is contaminated and the grade lower than that which was produced by the plant around a year ago.
Is the issue with the plant or the ore body itself?
The problem with the sorters was identified over a year ago (May 8th 2024 RNS), George informed the market that the suppliers had been instructed to remedy the issues, subsequently during fundraising, money was to be utilised to rectify the sorters and magnetic separator. It would appear that no funding has been allocated for these problems and the supplier has failed to rectify the issues. There is a potential workaround but it is a short term temporary solution.
If PREM manage to sort out the issues with product contamination and grade, with the set up as it currently is (with the workaround) can they consistently produce sufficient quantity to satisfy the terms required under the LOI?
Secondary flotation plant was previously identified as being necessary no matter what happened, George clearly stated in the interview that the company is committed to buying the equipment, yet in this RNS he suggests it may not be needed. Is it more a case of the company have used the funds for the secondary unit elsewhere, perhaps to pay for this second test run?
The one issue that nobody can ignore is funding. It's apparant that they have next to no money (if any at all) left. George has headroom, but hasn't used it, why? He's never been shy of coming to the markets in the past? Is it because Canmax aren't allowing him to use the headroom now? Are they slowly revealing their hand? Allow George to fail and enforce the terms of the prepayment agreement? Suppliers and contractors must also be becoming concerned about the financial situation and may be taking steps to secure the monies owed to them. Any legal action against the company has the potential to invalidate the offtake agreement (if successful)
These test runs seem to be revealing more and more problems, problems which will require significant capital investment. Capital PREM doesn't have and it would appear will not be able to raise.
The share consolidation must take place before the end of this month and that news could land at any time, I would expect that to be coincident with a call for an EGM with a single agenda item to increase the available headroom equivalent to around £15 to £20 million in order to pay all the outstanding debts, give George his money back from the loan and provide sufficient working capital to try and sort out the plant before the expiry of the prepayment agreement. The LOI will most likely be extended as Glencore have nothing to lose by giving PREM more time