RE: Prem6 Jan 2026 22:39
Happy New Year everyone, interesting to see the share price rise whilst I've been away and for those that have made a profit well done, be sure to bank some or all of that profit.
Watched the interview and whilst Graham is, thankfully, quite open and honest unlike his predecessor he is equally uncomfortable and his body language, tone of voice and pauses suggest he is equally unconfident in the project as his predecessor.
What he did make clear, as we all know, is the requirement to raise funds. At no point did he suggest that this funding would come from alternative sources, he made it clear that the dame process as always would happen and would continue going forwards. That process being Utilisation of the current headroom of 4,130,434,883 shares to raise initial funds, and I think it's safe to believe Grahams visit to the UK will be used to get that placing away, as well as visit family. Therefore at closing price today allowing for the usual 30% discount they will be able to raise at around the 0.029 mark which before fees is about £1.21 million or $1.64 million so after fees it's about $1.2 million.
The secondary flotation plant according to the company will cost (along with plant operating costs) $1,415,500 so just over $200k more than they can raise. Add in the "Normal operating expenses" of $1,908,400 that takes us to $3,322,900 we then need to factor in the Goddard debt which is now subject to a writ of execution, that debt which continues to accrue interest was last notifies as approximately $2.2 million.
Therefore total immediate liabilities (including the costs for the secondary plant) amount to $5,523,500 against the ability to raise $1,200,000 leaving a shortfall of $4,323,500.
Now for the interesting but, having a writ of execution means that should PREM raise funds then Goddards could potentially seize that cash, before it's used for anything else.
Graham will have to call an additional EGM (as he alluded to with the "usual process" statement) and he'll need enough shares to cover the $4,323,500 shortfall and also cover additional working capital going forwards of at least $5 million given the stated running costs. Therefore we're looking at around enough shares to cover a raise of about $10 million after costs so around £8 million. Let's assume there's a miracle and he can make that raise at 0.05 then he'll be looking at needing 16 Billion more shares equivalent to about a further 110% dilution, however the reality is the dilution will be much lower so the number will be closer to, if not above 20 billion more shares. Therefore wiping out lth, and anyone buying now.
I'm shocked they've survived 2025 but the numbers above show that they cannot continue as a going concern.