RE: 100 dollars a Barrel4 Jul 2021 12:26
Good weekend all. Great result England.
Re Opec+ meeting Monday. I can't foresee UAE doing anything stupid on Monday that could affect the poo negatively.
The Opec+ cartel have already agree, in principle and including the UAE, the increase of 400,000pd until December, this being under market expectations of 500,000pd so all looks great there for a steadily rising price.
The issue of UAE's baseline seems only to be an issue if the current Opec+ policy of control, restriction of supply agreement, is extended from April 2022, when it is due to end, until the end of the 2022.
Other Opec members have had their baseline, for calculation of cuts / supply, adjusted since June 2020 so there is a precedent for this to be considered/ permitted.
My guess is that there will be either no agreement on the extention or the UAE baseline adjusted from April 2022 onwards.
Either option and the poo keeps moving northwards.
Good day all
MarkGo