Member Info for MarbleMadness

Boomtown

There'll be a deal by Monday morning.

... "In the end, the talks will not fail because a few days more are needed ...We believe that an agreement is difficult but still possible," he claimed in Berlin before meeting Ireland's foreign minister Simon Coveney.

"We will keep negotiating...as long as a crack of the window is open."

The whole smoke and mirror show is far better than any Netflix series.

Who now thinks there wont be a deal?

My guess is there'll be a trade deal tomorrow and LLoyds will jump 10% (maybe Tues morning).
It'll be for 50% share of fish stocks over a 5 year transition period.

All depends if the PRA lifts the ban. I guess they're waiting for the outcome of the EU trade negotiations?

Here's a letter template for anyone who wants to send one in.

Dear Sam Woods,

Hurry the f**k up.

Yours faithfully,
A very patient & starving Lloyds investor

It would be great to see Lloyds expand buying either Starling or TSB.. but it would be be even better if they paid the owed divi first before going shopping.

"Britain could be set for another “Roaring Twenties” after the pandemic ends if exuberant families splash the cash saved through lockdown.

Household savings have surged despite the record-breaking recession, which could fuel a remarkable turnaround in the UK's economic fortunes in the years to come, according to a leading economist."

What happens when you starve consumers for a year then open the floodgates? Boomtown!

If the Government were to adopt changes suggested by the OTS and raise CGT to match income tax, what impact will this have with the share prices? e.g investors to sell up to crystalise gains at 20% instead of 40%.

There is also the possibility that the allowance will be reduced from £12k to £2-4k.

My guesstimate:
45p in 2020 (trade deal + Oxford jab + PRA ban lift)
60p by April 2021
£1 = soon

Fully bully boomtown next year.

What happens if Biden snuffs it before being crowned? He can't be far off going to the 'next room'. Does Kamala still get the presidency?

It was the schoolkids that spread it. The pubs were open for a while and the cases levelled off.. as soon as schools opened we were shown exponential cuves.

I think schools should have stayed shut. Parent's jobs and the economy comes first. Maslow's hierarchy of needs.. food, heat, shelter.. education is at the top of the pyramid under psychological/self fulfilment.

As soon as the ban is lifted, Lloyds should do the right thing and pay the final 2019 divi or at least the bulk of it. Prorated to the day that Robin Hood intervened.

Is there actually a possibility of receiving the missing 2019 dividend? When Lloyds said they'll make it up to shareholders i've just assumed they will try and restart the divis when the ban is lifted but no back payments.

It's a 140-150p share and in time it will easily recover. I don't want to sell.

Negative rates won't work, warns Mervyn King. The former Bank of England Governor says pushing interest rates below zero will not have a 'significant impact' on the economy

Andrew Bailey, the current Governor, said yesterday that negative rates work best in a “nascent” economic upturn as he warned the risks to the UK are “very heavily skewed towards the downside”.

He said: “As we get near to zero and even contemplate going below zero, the effectiveness of policy in its transmission becomes much more conditional."

So probably not happening. Computer says no (because it can't cope with minus values).

How can anyone predict 2 weeks into the future let alone 2 years? This must be from a huge list of assumptions and you know what they say about making assumptions.

Perhaps one day we'll either have enough computer processing power to calculate the position and spin of every particle inside the lottery machine or possibly find a way to move people into the 5th dimension. Until then I predict Lloyds will hit at least 60p by 2022.

Forget 25p. There's a dividend gap that needs filling first.

Out of curiosity what are people's thoughts on how the Lloyds SP will react on a deal or no deal?

10% 20% ?

When are the PRA due to review lifting the dividend ban? When Sam Woods feels like it?

If the Government wanted to implement a full lockdown now, would the public go along with it?

From reading forums, polls and comments in the papers I don't think so and that's part of the reason why the R is increasing - reduced compliance and lack of social distancing. IMO there's a race against time to deliver and exit strategy before people tell tell Bojo to foxtrot oscar. What about when furlough ends, will those millions of jobless be happy to bend over?