PetroChina JV & Start of Institutional Buying?16 Sep 2021 17:10
I watched the investor presentation live and a pretty good show by the team, providing insights into the various points often speculated on here.
The basic investment case is pretty straightforward and is fundamentally solid, given the transition of Petromatad to Producer /Explorer from a pure play exploration outfit AND having funding in place to facilitate that.
A real 'no brainer' for a potentially significant, multiple ROI from current entry levels, moving into said production phase, from that perspective alone.
However, the company are currently in talks re: a potential JV with a party that 'cant be named', is 'pretty obvious' and wouldn't likely be a 'new entrant in country' with 'existing operations' in the region - ie PETRO CHINA!
The discounted Placing was effectively what the market offered, given that MATD, despite the obvious potential, are not producing yet.
Regarding the repeated question as to why it was claimed by PIs to be 'rushed' rather than waiting?
Effectively, it ties in with the previous point re: JV negotiations and the relative strength it provides the company in said negotiations. Also, the long lead times in procurements, considering the previous point on Placing levels accounting for current non production status.
What can we expect for Newsflow in 2021, beyond the obvious developments leading into 2022 production?
There was no suggestion that 2022 production is doubtful, that I recall and indeed all systems go for it.
Also, the constant reference to excellent relationships with Petro China re: logistic co-operation and the Mongolian Govt being 'very aware' of the financial intricacies associated with such, hence confidence in that aspect of operations being negotiated successfully.
There seems to be a difference of opinion with another commentator on that subject, so please evaluate the presentation yourself. I'm confident in my takeaway on those points.
Possible Seismic survey as mentioned, Equipment procurement AND potential JV conclusion, given the current talks taking place. These have moved on from the initial preliminary discussions that were previously awaiting the actual EL confirmation to a different level of commitment by the parties to a JV, given the satisfactory conclusion of the outstanding Exploitation License.
That'll be an obvious game changer, prior to general expectations of a hard move leading into 2022 production, hence why I'm very comfortable with my current holding.
The 'BLUE CHIP' company references are London based institutions and not 'shady Mongolian entities' that some supposedly 'highly placed' informed BB poster was trying to promulgate.
Indeed, its anticipated that these Institutions will be looking to possibly increase their holdings with open market buying, which is something I anticipated happening within the post EL to production period.