Technical Overview13 Jun 2021 10:57
The TA on the higher timeframes still unchanged and bullish, as part of the wider uptrend.
The Daily timeframe release the more recent price action, with the price clearly positioned up fortably within the 7.10p-8.10p trading channel, those prices reflecting the minor support & resistance levels.
As we've seen, small trades can move the price quite significantly but generally low volumes seen over the recent trading days.
The market seems to be waiting atm but sellers from what we presume will likely be from lower entries, are being offset by higher level buyers and setting up a more stable platform on any subsequent price rise.
The fundamentals are as previously discussed with the obvious point of progressing towards the EL issuance rns, probably (but not guaranteed) within the next few weeks.
Some speculation(and not without justification) of the Heron field financing being announced at the same time. We know Farm in discussions have taken place and although 'unitisation' with Petro China isn't on the cards, a JV with Petro Matad taking the reigns is a very viable option.
Production and associated revenues are likely to forthcoming in 2022, with any earlier timeframe being a bonus.
Working capital requirements are already covered until Q3 2022, so it's the Exploitation License that will really start to unlock the inherent value in MATD.
The market will be forward looking to revenue generation and the massive potential of the BlockXX extension area, of the proven & producing Tosun Uul Basin, with an estimated 2 Billlion barrels oil in place in the adjacent Blocks XXI & XIX.
The investment criteria as the company position to transition as producers, will likely attract formerly excluded Institutional investment into the stock and replace the more transient retail component, imo.
That should further unlock the higher value price estimates going forward.
My own position has been that of accumulating stock, assuming that the Exploitation License issuance will be a given, the subsequent Re-rate and fundamental shift in the company's standing towards and corresponding price appreciation going forward.
As always do your own independent research in conjunction with the TA & Fundamental factors discussed above.