RE: What's Everyone's Feelings?31 Jan 2025 14:51
The thing about hedging is that whilst it protects you from rate changes against you it also remove the chances of you benefiting from rate changes in your favour. Therefore you could argue that because currency fluctuations are generally not that severe, in comparison say to fuel price, it's a calculated risk that you might take to not hedge. The fact that the euro was weakening because of the rise of the far right particularly in France and the dollar was strengthening probably due to the Trump effect, was kind of a perfect storm. Not good but perhaps not quite as negligent as it might first seem.
Whilst the reduced guidance is clearly not good I think it's important to remember the money that's been paid back to loans. That between F23 and F24 reduced nearly 300 million debt between F24 and 25 reducing 200 million that going into F26 reducing by 500 million and by F27 no debt to speak of at all. That's pretty impressive.
I'm not an accountant but I believe interest would be paid from Opex but repaying the loan comes from CapEx and therefore out of the post tax profits. So making any money at all after you've paid back at 500,000,000€ is also pretty impressive.
So it seems to me, in my simplistic view, that going forward Wizz is in a pretty strong position.