RE: Fun and Games14 Jun 2024 11:05
I am sure we have all been here before over the years. Late 2022 buying a variety of stocks proved to be wise - although at the time it felt like we were at the start of something far more significant and nowhere near the bottom.
At least it did to me anyway :)
There remain a number of potential threats to the equity markets and (not for the first time) I am expecting more downside than upside in the coming months at least. Which will hit the good companies as well as the bad ones.
But IMO trying to time this stuff is a good way to miss lots of market upside, so (again, only IMO) keep plenty of dry powder, try and manage position sizes sensibly, take some profits/slice here and there, and keep buying when you think it is sensible to do so.
Which may not always 'feel' right. Hence my comment about my winter 2022 purchases in a range of outfits.
And I let my 'feelings' stop me from holding a couple of positions that have since gone on to 'lose' me an extra 50% or so of profits at the time of print. So not trying to blow my own trumpet. Although I certainly would if I could, lol :)
IMO, we are currently mainly seeing institutional selling and retail buying, both here and across the Pond. I think I am right in saying that the buy back window in the US is now closed or about to close, so that will likely influence the direction of travel for a bit as well.
The long and short though is if CARD continues to build on the last update, manages costs sensibly (including not taking the pi££ with their own executive remuneration), keep paying down the debt aggressively, hopefully with extra dividends and a buy back too (if appropriate) then sooner or later, there is no strong reason to think we are not going to see a materially higher SP before too long. But as always, time will tell and just my thoughts. GLA.