RE: Hello - long term lurker strong buy?1 Jul 2021 19:25
Hi sdoglyons
Cobre on its Q1 sales will do 3,084 over the year - assume same overhead as last year that’s operating profit of 583USD *7 for a value of the enterprise is 4m USD - £3m.
A. SMG has the right to sell the processed Magnetite on a 12 month rolling lease from Cobre Mine, owned by Freeport-McMoRan.
They have a claim of 21m USD of which there are 8m liquid assets from the other party - none of its booked in the accounts but lets assume 20% recovery that's 1m USD in cash £700K
A. They won the arbitration re: RNS Number : 4505O Strategic Minerals PLC 01 June 2020. It is unlikely that we will see any of the award. We may at some time in the future, but no value can be attributed to this.
They are listing a business for 10m AUD (looks like they wanted to do it with debt initially which means they assumed the cashflow could support the debt) 10m AUD is about £5.5m.
A. There is no listing as of yet. LCCM is trying to raise $10mAUD to fund production at Paltridge North and for deep exploration for Copper Sulphide. This figure does not have any bearing on any future listing valuation. Exploration may increase the value dramatically or it may not.
Cornwall resources they own 50% - that limited companies value is £3m on its net assets so 50% of that
A. CRL and Redmoor mine is 100% fully owned by SML. RNS Number : 1610P Strategic Minerals PLC 08 October 2019. “In March 2019, the Company entered into arrangements to acquire the balance of the Redmoor Tin-Tungsten project in Cornwall. This was completed on 24 July 2019”.
Adding it all up is £3m cobre + £700K claim+ £5.5m Leigh creek +1m cornwall resources = £10m
The above back of the fag packet maths basically treats future cashflows from leigh creek and cornwall at zero.
So question is why the discount ?
A. A very good question indeed. This may be about to change very shortly. Todays Video by the Chairman was really rather interesting and gave a very short timeframe for a game changing PEPR decision. This should lead to production of Copper cement in H2.
RNS Number : 2908U Strategic Minerals PLC 22 November 2019 “Full scale production to commence with lower risk Paltridge North deposit”, “Identification of the need to increase capacity at Mountain of Light plant to 300 tonnes per month”.