RE: Not a lot has changed on the SML board10 May 2022 11:35
I applause your confidence with the assets. The information for said assets comes from the very people whom have led us this merry dance for going on 3 years. One of those people sold Redmoor to us (himself). Was this confidence in the asset by selling it? Just a way to raise money for NAE? Or even just a way to transfer money from one of his companies to another? I have as much confidence in the assets as I have in the people telling me about the assets. How do you persuade the rest of the BoD of NAE to sell such a valuable asset, while at the same time persuading the BoD of SML to buy it? It is easy to persuade yourself a Chairman of both companies, but the rest of the BoD? You have to down play it to one group and up sell it to the other. How do you put a fair price on it to persuade one group to “let it go it’s not worth it” and the other to “grab it quick, they don’t realise what they have”? Why could NAE not develop it under Alan Broome if it is such a good asset?
Your calculations mean nothing to the Market. With the PEPR lite, your calculations mean nothing. Without proven production ability, your calculations mean nothing. Without a PEPR to mine and produce (which the PEPR lite does not give us), your calculations mean nothing. This is the reality.
You could argue that the 5 year access to Cobre is the £7m mcap. You could argue that LCCM is a liability that owes us millions. You could argue that Redmoor will only become an asset if we can prove up resources before that commodity boat sails. You could argue anything, but you can’t argue with the Markets valuation as their combined experience and risk assessment is far greater than the sum of ours.
IMO and with the best will in the world and the Oxide PEPR and a finance that is not a CLN, we may settle around £15m mcap and then increase to 1p ish if we can prove production. If we have another failed production akin to 3 years ago then we are back here again, this time with more debt.