Member Info for LuckyLuciano

One would think with UK CPI coming out so hot today, that at lest lloy sp would be in the green....It looks like sentiments and expectation on bank stocks have shifted a bit, indeed it was a correct assessment that investors had moved earlier on this sector, and now that rate are rising people are divesting. What is left as catalyst are results by end of Feb, numbers are already baked in the sp and for now in the absence of a tangible impact of rate rise on profit, investors will pay attention to forward guidance ......If is true that the market is forward looking, one may think that investors are already starting to position they portfolios back on growth stock with . Let not forget that most of this inflation was caused by covid, supply chain issues and production constrain, and that recent high numbers growth and demand is coming from a very low levels, therefore not sustainable. In short since the 14th feb I noticed LLOY starting to make lower lows on the day candle and wouldn't be surprised if it goes back to 50.

67Sam
last time i checked in Salisbury nobody died but the Russian traitor...
I tell you though what is madness, is blindly believe what people suite best to justify own actins and life style. Please don't get me wrong, we are all a bit hypocrite in life, some time is necessary to keep living and don't commit suicide or murders. But imv is best to have a balanced view, my point was that the west with its secret services have committed far worst crimes to humanity, than poisoning a guy in Salisbury. With Boris Abramovich Berezovsky was a bit better i suppose. The guy apparently hanged himself and probably in the process lots of uk assets of the poor guy ended up in someone pocket, and all was well. If Skripal was a uk spy you may say they didn't do a very good job to protect him, what were they thinking that the kgb was going to give him a medal? Anyway you keep eating your artificially coloured food and blindly believe what mass media like you to believe. Even that in the west we are in democracy.....is all good.

uk gas price drip to 162 together with Putin sending some troops back to Moscow from Ukraine borders, that why 10% drop...

Gentlemen I been sarcastic with the food in UK. In the end is down to individual life choice what to eat and is not even that expensive, as been vegetarians is possibly the cheapest and healthiest way to go about... My point was about Putin comparison with some western countries secret services and their foreign policies....I am with Putin 1milion percent. The western media and propaganda is playing with Putin and the Russians because they have cornered and sanctioned its economy, what a bunch of Hypocrites, they are supposed to do the same or even more against the Chines but is not happening isn't.....of course not we need them. The Russian limit their action to sort out people they consider traitor, albeit sometimes in foreign countries, this can be considered internal politics. The west go to foreign countries to corrupt and assassinate people to destabilize countries so that they become dependent to financial mafia and the dollar...

So much poisoning going on in uk due to the sh@it food we eat and drink, and nobody cares, obesity is killing millions, and people are bodered because a guy die of suspicious circumstances in Sailbury...... Tell me what is madness please.

Walkersworld....lololol
Hey boys and girls please lets not start to size up who has the most or least posts..
I get that my post was not about LLOY fair enough, but definitely was not political, was some sort of humour about how the BBC described a CAVA/Champagne bottle has wine bottle.....indeed subsequent reports are describing this bottle as sparkling wine, maybe they are reading these posting and correcting the info accordingly. After all even a 3 year old child would recognise a bottle of Champagne for a bottle of wine. Now that I read it is not even funny.

My world..one can not even make a joke that is interpreted has political....some people come to conclusion too easily. I am a bit scare right now because I have made another post before this which has not been edited yet. Just wondering if this board is monitored by MI5 or 007. Surely to use the name Boris was not a good idea.....I will be more careful next time. By the way if the British secret service is reading I like to say that I am not a terrorist or belonging to the Labour party, I can't even vote in this Country.

...not manipulated at all if I may CorvoBianco, surely not on the grand scheme of things.
Today LLOY sp move reflect exactly market sentiment of the day, a risk on day with Nasdaq rising the most and therefore money flow going that direction....In the end LLOY did very well to finish 1%puss higher possibly dragged more by overall positives sentiments than fundamentals trend. I am reading articles stating that for some indicators inflation is starting to peak or rise less or at lower rate..
In the past Western Gov. have come up with the most blatant and bizarre inventions to suppress inflation in their macro economic data release, adding or subtracting items like energy, food, just to keep inflation read low. Their aim is to do without rising rates and consequently not increasing the cost of the massive debit our countries have. I would be surprised if central banks would start aggressively to rise rates to curb inflation for several reasons, including the above. Indeed the market have realised they, confirmed by the fact that shares of commodities and inflation price sensitive stocks are rising faster than bank shares. In other words one would be better buy an oil and gas company than a bank stock, this is short medium and long term....imv. A confirmation that central banks will allow inflation run faster than rate rise. In another chapter i will explain also why this is happening. Thank you for reading.

From BBC News
Police decide not to investigate, after a picture shows Johnson at a party near a open bottle of wine...
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This is hilarious as it is, but the funniest thing is that from the pic, it was a bottle of Champagne. Stupid me thinking all along that he was a beer man...

I was reading that one company which India owned tax rebate, had to settle for less money....can't remember name.
I am tented to invest in CNE but wondering if also it will receive a lower offer on tax rebate payment, what will happen to the sp.

I don't know....shorting LLOY while is making higher lows of recent sound a risky business, rather short biotech right now...not that I short anything...

Rate rise is good for banks on those mortgages with variable rates, but long term fixed mortgages may become less profitable as inflation will rise costs for banks.... Not sure what is an energy bill of a big bank, or how much cost to service their debit.....All this just to say is not such a straight conclusion and more importantly for a sp point of view is going to be almost impossible to quantify and price in the extra profit down the rate rise line, for banks. This is uncharted territory because there as been hardly any iflation, or rate rise in the western economies after the credit crunch and QE... I suspect the tendency for central banks after taking on massive debits post 2009 will be to let the iflation run higher than rate raises.

Can't agree more, is not looking good at all.... They used tax payer money via QE to prop up stock market, how can that be a good thing for the real economy? Now the cash has dried up, debit repayment is rising and soon world Gdp will start to srink... What if left for governments is the hope that tax revenue will Increase togheter with inflation.... What a mess

Us banks well up right now interesting to see is UK banks will replicate on Monday or if there is going to start a disconnect between the 2 economies...

What a ramp everybody knows that after big dividends the share price normally drops... Also to feel the need to ramp your investments on this board goes a long way to show how confident you are on your decisions. Sell before is too late.

Also looking at BOE rate rise before credit crunch, you will see LLOY sp flowing up and down the rate rise, confirming the trend and logic behind investing in banks. Imv after 2009 QE and again more QE of recent thing have changed dramatically, people don't need to borrow anymore, price if goods have come way down most people are able to afford things, I mean I just booked 2 weeks in Tenerife half board, return fly and airport transfer included for £880, even low skilled worker, working hard can make this cash in a little more than a week.... People borrowing money are possibly unfortunate people in very very difficult circumstances these days, kind of people very likely to default6on debt.... imo QE and price destruption bua globalization have killed the credit market, indeed. Any banks best form of profit has been the investment side of busenes... Just my op

Indeed the market is mostly about sentiments, not rationale, otherwise how one would justify some share prices rising tenfold with no profit in sight and other making good cf and profit been stagnant at best.
Is all down to sentiments and expectation.........though recently the game seems to have changed. Is becoming messy out there, some growth companies also making good profits and little debit getting hammered one day and shooting up the next day. In all this mess there are banks, it seems the market is not sure how to decipher and price banks right now, hence the pause and wait on sp. They saying this market of rising inflation best to invest in companies that are able to pass higher prices to consumers, well imo banks are the least better position to do this because they supposed increased profit would come from rising cost of credit and not just rising cost of products. All this vicious circle of central banks rising rates to the benefit of lenders as been distorted by QE, whereas the central banks and gov. have become the main lenders and banks exist just to fulfil a function in the market place. Don't forget that they also have rising costs to deal with, indeed I firstly invested in LLOY with the idea that due to working from home and getting rid of office spaces there may start a trend of reducing costs for big corporation in general...it may still be the case but possibly far fetched idea and anyway far down the line of financial reports, in the mean time I suppose also they have to pay higher energy bill and all theat. Anyhow right now LLOY share is in the mercy of the main market sentiments which at the moment can be described has very volatile on the down side...

NOT ACCORDING TO THIS...
https://themoneycharity.org.uk/money-statistics/

If I can intrude...
No doubt rate rise is a cause of recession ...otherwise why would they bring it out?
Or is just to please LLOY investor...? Sorry I missed that may be...but in the end is all down to how much private debt is out there and at what rate needs to be repaired......the so called "fine balancing act". Thing is if they want to rite rate aggressively, they want to make sure they rise wages as well ....Britain is not very famous for that. There use to be the Europeans coming in floods and keeping wages down, add to that cheap imports from China and yes inflation was under control, which allowed central bankers to print money at the wrong times for the richer. Now the party is over, and the poor man and woman in the street will suffer badly. This is not going to favour banks that much if at all, lots of bad debit coming up if they choke the ever so fragile economy. Don't forget that we (private) and public sectors in the West are already under massive debits. In comparison Burundi of Africa has less than 2 Billion national debit or 66% GDP, IS TIME TO BUY BURUNDIAN FARNCS.

I am laughing out loud reading this....