Timscales15 Feb 2025 19:04
The last update was just under 2 weeks ago, I’m thinking about timescales of what will happen next.
If cold weather is holding up work at Clink1, it’s going to be -20c during the day and colder at night until next Friday.
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/Ingomar+MT?canonicalCityId=f86472219941cf2483d36bff0a3a026ab53992b51297997f63ed219ad8fbcf6a
Assuming Bo has the acidation team ready to go, and again assuming the weather is holding them up, re entry and testing should take around 10 days from 21st Feb, so news by around Mon 3rd March. I’m guessing there may then be flow testing to follow? Not sure about this. But we should have news re a confirmed commercial discovery by end of March, if not earlier.
It seems to take 3-4 weeks for their consultant to analyse the data and confirm reserve numbers (assuming commercial). So we could have news of a commercial discovery in March and confirmation of size of reserves in April.
Other news could be confirmation of acquisition of the membrane unit for Rudyard processing and a timeline on production works, leading to first Helium ready for sale in Q2.
Also, they may announce an offtake agreement with sale price, but I’m not sure if this will happen before or after first gas is produced. This appears to be Gregg Peter’s area of expertise so I’d be surprised if he’s not actively engaging and negotiating with end users right now.
https://www.helixexploration.com/the-team/
I’d be very surprised if an agreement isn’t announced very soon, I assume will be in place before production begins. Any announcements re offtake agreements will shine a spotlight onto first revenue and will surely affect the SP.
Also, being fully funded, we’ll likely have announcements of further drilling and survey work to increase both reserves and production volume at Rudyard. This could happen any day and be concurrent to all other activities.
Overall I’m very confident about 30-50p by end of Q2, possibly way more depending on Ingomar results and if the market starts valuing Hex fairly based on actual Reserves.
I’ve invested a lot in this now, average of 17.17p. Good luck to everyone, let’s hope we have some rapid and very positive news flow starting this week.