RE: 20p SP19 Mar 2025 14:53
DM said NPV is 76p per share, with obvious upside - https://x.com/HelixExp/status/1886392134904733739
This is underwritted by confirmed reserves, a derisked path to production/first revenue within appros 3 months and being fully funded. We should have 3 wells producing by end of June, generating $4m profit annually each, with further wells added in H2 as we ramp up.
The Upside factors that could push this way above 76p are:
- Convert Resources to reserves at Rudyard South
- Increase Reserves generally at Rudyard when more drill data becomes available
- Commercial Helium discovery at Ingomar Charles - we're waiting on the gas sample results. The problem was it didn't display commercial flow rates, but they confirmed a high pressure reservoir before, so it may need fracking or likely a second drill nearby IF Helium grades are commercial. News should drop any day now.
- Commercial Helium discovery at Ingomar Flathead - it's the main target and it's big, with high Helium shows
- Commercial Hydrogen discovery at Ingomar Flathead - incredibly high hydrogen concentration, like nothign seen before in N America. They'll come back to this in Q3 due to the Sage Grouse restrictions which lift mid-June.
- Higher helium price achieved than forecasted, We could potentially double this income by achieving better prices. Their stated strategy is to develop relationships with end users and sell directly, achieving higher prices. Helium is such a critical commodity that indistrial users will pay more to guarantee supply. See their latest presentation Slide 12 chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://wp-helix-2024.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/media/2025/02/Helix-Exploration-Corporate-Deck-Feb25-v2.pdf
- Also potential further M&A work could add upside.