Whose Buying?23 Sep 2025 20:43
Why Pfizer will be on the prowl to add value!
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4822764-why-i-sold-pfizer-to-buy-novo-nordisk?li_source=LI&li_medium=liftigniter-widget
Pfizer's high dividend is fragile amid looming patent cliffs and revenue declines; Novo's lower yield is safer and supported by robust cash flows.
While Novo faces risks from competition, patent expiry, and execution, its fundamentals and market position make it the stronger bet for the next several years.
Big Pharma companies in general suffer from an inferior business model thanks to the patent cliffs and are unfit for true long-term investment.
Novo Nordisk is built on the success of one GLP-1
If Pfizer can grab the best AUD, PTSD, drug treatment it can repair its dividend cover instantly with one NHS contract and leap frog upstarts like Novo Nordisk.
Astra Zeneka, J&J, they will all know what the numbers can look like.
J&J will be looking in, not to take 001, they dont necessarily need 001 in the U.K.
They will be talking and looking over data to think through their bid for 002 in the USA.
Spravato is their GLP-1, 002 slots straight into their spravato clinics with their pre trained clinicians, it can make or break their medium to longer term business model with cross modelling data of single use, multiple discipline treatments.
Any negative info could in theory also damage them, I think they will quite desperatly need to control svn002.
This is why the license model works for everyone, they can all carve out what they need the most and it leaves the Solvonis BOD to develop their star players in svn014 and the CNS Library.
They'll all be talking ...