Lloyds Banking and HSBC preferred as RBC updates scorecard27 Jan 2023 07:25
Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LSE:LLOY) and HSBC Holdings PLC (LSE:HSBA) are the only of the UK’s major banks now rated as 'outperform' by RBC, with the Canadian bank saying the sector has become more expensive since its previous update three months ago.
Banks start to report fourth-quarter numbers next week and RBC believes that anything other than solid top-line performance may receive a poor market reaction.
On the plus side, deposit rates (betas) are still under 50%, with that likely to mean good margins in the updates especially as mortgage spreads have widened and stayed there since the chaos of last year.
Costs and risk are worries across the sector, while RBC said it is below consensus on estimates on loan growth, where it is concerned about first-time buyer mortgage volumes.
Overall, UK bank shares have become more expensive, says RBC, but the outlook remains 'constructive' with “25% implied upside across our coverage”.
In order of preference, HSBC ranks first, Lloyds second with Natwest and Barclays are left holding the wooden spoons.
Shares in Lloyds were up 3.2% at 52.6p on Thursday afternoon and HSBC nudged up 0.6% at 601.8p