RE: % probability priced in for successful Sale1 Nov 2022 12:13
Stevemocal... I wouldn't be disappointed with 10p... that's my point I suppose. Yes, it is true that 20-25p as hinted at was and is a more desirable outcome... but realism guides me to modify that target. TITK are for example some who benefitted by the created 9p spike and other opportunities to forward sell. The SP would not be treading water at 3p if a 20p outcome was around the corner (unless a date for a deal announcement has been leaked and it is some way off yet). Nothing surprises me in ColinWorld so your optimism may well be justified in which case all good. Until evidence is presented (which in itself should rerate the SP) I remain cautiously hopeful of 10p.
What is your outcome hope btw ?