Seeing The Bigger Picture through the Fog (and FUD)10 Feb 2026 20:28
Okay, a few people have asked. So this is how I "genuinely" feel about things right now:
1) We have an enviable and world class exploration portfolio, with district scale potential. We are likely sitting on millions of ounces across the portfolio.
2) But it's no good having these projects unless you have the cash (and skill/luck) to drill them and make discoveries.
3) Here, OMI has two key sources of cash. The first is the existing kitty of £13 million. The second is this Pepas deposit - albeit a few years away yet from going into production.
4) The £13 million we already have is MORE THAN sufficient for OMI to make a second and much larger scale discovery. So we don't actually need the Pepas cash to "make" a second discovery and generate that upside. That's been taken care of already with the fund raises.
5) The Pepas cash WILL, however, allow OMI to take a second discovery into production AND fund all future exploration costs across the portfolio.
6) At the point any second project goes into production, the cash generated from it will likely dwarf the cash being generated by this Pepas deposit. Pepas will only be the flag bearer for as long as it takes to get the much larger second project into production. The second producing project will actually be the big prize here. (An exception to this might be if we go onto discover more Pepas's, such that Pepas itself actually grows into the large scale flag bearing production project - could easily happen!)
THIS is the sequence of compelling fundamentals that have caused me to have a large position in OMI and have a LTH in mind. In order for this dream company making scenario to happen, the following needed/needs to happen:
1) Pepas is capable of generating enough cash to fund the second project. On today's MRE, this has been FULLY accomplished. So this is a clear ✔.
2) Pepas is also capable of generating enough cash to fund future exploration. On today's MRE, this has been FULLY accomplished. So this is a clear ✔.
3) Whilst Pepas is being prepared for production, OMI makes a second commercial discovery. Some would argue that this is also a ✔ based on APTA, but let's call this an X for now. Will this second discovery be APTA, North Pepas, El P, El C or LV? This remains to be seen!
So overall how do I feel about the MRE? - whilst it's lower than the baseline 250koz I wanted, it's only short by 30koz. This shortfall is completely irrelevant in the overall scheme of things. Because on today's RNS, its very much MISSION ACCOMPLISHED in terms of what we needed from this initial Pepas deposit! Which means it's GAME VERY MUCH ON AND DREAM VERY MUCH ALIVE so far as I am concerned. Easy and big money to be made here from 25p in the coming weeks and months! All imo and dyor