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I think the tanker will return to AM i believe it departed due to weather situation
I see that the offload completed yesterday evening (i was expecting early hrs today tanker is now enroute to wilhelshaven i note it was in port for only 12 hrs and draft on tanker now 9.5 usually a full offload takes up to 27 hrs with all the checks. i know they fitted a new offload hose in last few mths so that may be a wider bore hence resulting in faster turnaround . We will have to see.
Https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2022-approximate-conversion-factors.pdf
also tanker going to wilhelmshaven 2nd jan initial indicator says 71500 mt 524,000
Tanker now in AM port at 12.30 we had 1 flight earlier this morning 2 nd flight has now left Aberdeen so should complete offload within timeframe
Thanks Dive centre yes would agree weather improves towards week-end so should meet timeframe for offload
ALTERA WIND
Position: 55° 29' 17" N, 0° 19' 00" W
Last seen: 2023-12-25 08:29 GMT
Location: North Sea, GB
Destination: LANCASTER OILFIELD
ETA: 2023-12-26 08:00 GMT
2023-12-2500:20 GMT ETA changed New ETA: 2023-12-26 08:00 UTC
DiveCentre , I do not have any subscription accounts now like i did have. The only one now is a starter account from Fleetmon lets me monitor up to 12 vessels on a watchlist and you get a daily e mail .A lot of the other links are now a password registered eg clarksons, seabay . I keep in touch a little note our supply vessel G S is up for a rollover on fresh12mth contract this December.
Thanks Divecentre good to see your post I looked this morning and thought being optimistic there maybe 464,000 on the 18th Dec I don’t know how holiday period and weather could affect the timing of a offload fingers x it happens prior to 31/12even a part load ,keep well and I will look out for a tanker
Should read 345 bbls decline over 5 mths
ALSO in May 2023. They reported oil production at 7,345 bbls/d and water at 8,577 bbls/d (c54% water cut.
Really it has not dropped that much May June July August September 5 months the decline was 345 bbls a day evaluate that to future on those figures certainly looks like P6 can carry on production for a few more years but these are only stats and other factors that create the risks
Production days July23 17 days
August23 31 days
September23 30 days
October23 12 days
TOTAL 90 DAYS less maintenance 10DAYS est = 80 days production @7000 could be7100 or even 7200 either way
=560,000 then take off uptime at say 95% less 28 barrels comes to 542000 estimate for this offload .
We dont know if production continues through certain topside maintenance AM also has storage tank reserve which may not be fully emptied so there could be a carry forward to next offload of circa 5 days production, certainly some oil in storage reserve as its always shown in accounts at year end/ 1/2 year as accrual produced and not offloaded
I would be looking for an offload prior to Christmas. Est say about 22nd Dec weather also a factor at that time. Gives us a possible 67 days x7000 =469000 plus whats in storage could make a part offload up to the 500,000 mark. If that happens we would have 3 offloads accountable for the March 1924 DCU payment.
The tanker is now en route to the port of Rotterdam. Expected to arrive there on Sunday evg Oct 15, 19:00.
Offload indicates around 539000 barrels
LANCASTER tomorrow
ETA: Oct 12, 05:00 (in 23 hours)
Allow Approx 10 days for the maintenace should give next offload this Thursday 12 October.
Https://montroseport.co.uk/live-webcam/ NJORD VIKING finished work on Hose Changeout @ Aoka Mizu Returning to Montrose in early hrs should be visible tomorrow in dock hull colour bright yellow. Supply vessel out at AM this evg should have an update over week -end re next offload
SEE PAGE 81 of SCHEME document says not a dividend
https://www.prax.com/disclaimer/
Thanks for that i have amended the adfn post just thinking it may be quite a tight window to get 3 offloads in till 31/12 as you say
Its in arrears so as you say could run into March 27 . The Njord Viking vessel is being used out at AM today changing hose
Corryvreckan1 no problem i will report after 6th when i think tanker will arrive, seems this week AM is having some maintenance done Ah vessel out of Montrose this morning they need a vessel like this as they have to lift the offload hoses and fit possibly a new one it should be installed by Fri
Fandg2 iii treated same for me on this latest payment its gone in Isa .
Corryvreckan1 makes an excellent point "We can separate the DCU itself - which is like a promise to pay part of the consideration in the future - from the actual payments made which may, possibly, be legitimate receipts into an ISA from a tax perspective.
fingers crossed this is correct Thanks for all the posts on this matter
My calculations indicate we should have an offload next week as we are running at something like 81 days since last offload , if that happens its still possibly for an offload late December despite maintenance schedule , (weather important factor Dec) i will post again when the tanker has been allocated for this next offload