RE: Lets remind ourselves....8 Sep 2023 08:42
All of this is irrelevant to the near and unfortunatley long term sp. and it's the sp that any sane investor is interested in, not how well the company are doing, as they are not always correlated, as said many times.
the problem is there's a trust risk factor at play here. the market just doesn't trust what the company says or does any longer. it does not trust that management are acting in the best interests of shareholders (they are blantantly not, nor have they for years), and they don't trust the timelines, communication nor projected forward costs.
When you add all this up, the problem is, that combined with enourmous already known dillution (of assets via the proposed CalVal deal) and the still unknown financing deal (what interest rate will SOU be charged....? Unknown!) and the beyond-stupid CB short term financing, I see 90% dillution ultimate of existing SH compared to prior to these deals. So you will likely own just 10% of what you did before. So anyone hoping in their wildest dreams to get 4-5p, needs to readjust to 90% less in my view. Clearly I see the sp falling much much further and there will be some huge RNSs forthcoming where this dillution becomes apparent as the interest related shares are issused to the lender (likely to offset all the shorting they've been doing for weeks and few on here believed me when I pointed that out.)
So none of that matters to a SH, as if it all goes swimmingly, you'll find ShareAngel will massively drop their 4.6p most recent target to something a magnitude lower soon, as SP merely reflects what value there is assigned to each share. If the number of shares balloon (as they will) and other diution of assets mean future cash flows from all this potentially good progress means less and less can be proportioned to each share. You're basically looking at the wrong thing here, none of what you posted really matters if you are getting dilluted to oblivion, it won't reflect in a sp at 2,3 or 5p, let alone anything higher. SOU really is a perfect example of the AIM market scam and how retail investors get bled dry through questionable practices to fund companies which more sensible lenders would not touch with a barge pole.