RE: Sales4 Dec 2022 22:02
Arso you can't Strictly, never mind I'm sure most of us get the gist. Love the reference to Dick Emery - oohh you are awful!
Thanks for the numbers, no doubt you'll have seen my exchanges with hics below re the similarities or otherwise to 2008. To be fair, there are some pretty scary monsters to negotiate in housebuilding waters next year and, as much as I could argue that BDEV, TW. and PSN (my personal holdings) are much better positioned now than they were then (particularly wrt debt levels) I don't know if that will be enough to help them survive, let alone continue to pay dividends at current levels.
As we don't know when or at what level inflation might peak, how long it will remain above the 2% target, when interest rates might start to fall, the economy recover, war conclude, national/individual debt levels reduce, a Prime Minister & Chancellor survive longer than a school term etc. etc. etc. there's no way we can realistically forecast when things might look a little brighter for potential house-buyers and therefore housebuilders. Since we've already seen a significant recovery from recent lows, though, the market at least is betting that things will improve at some point in the future. So I'm holding for now.
Thanks again, always helpful to get your insights.
K