RE: Going forwards30 May 2021 15:55
SouthWestener - re LD/WB, there is a race to secure copper fields around the world - exploration sites are being bought up and many $M spent on trying to find out IF there is Copper there.
IF they find copper and build a mine that is a couple hundred $M and 10-15 years
LD /WB could be operational in 3 years.
As an exploration company, do you spend $30M hoping your brown field has copper, then $200M to build over next 12 years?
Or is you money better spent, taking a known mine that needs a few years of work and less than half the investment ?
As an investor, I know where I want my money - and its not looking for maybe getting jam in 12 years, when I know I can spend less and know I can have jam in 3 years
Opportunity cost of that alone is worth a premium
Also, 3 years time we really expect Copper prices to be at great highs - nobody knows what alternatives could be available in 10-15 years and therefore thats worth another premium on LD/WB
Cornish and I have discussed valuation etc for LD and I still think he could be being conservative, but I certainly feel comfortable with such a deal and getting 50% of something in 3 years rather than 100% of it in 6 years (by the time Ming will be sufficiently stable and profitable to pay for going it alone) gets my vote all day long
TB wont want to sell it too cheap, but he has the contacts and credibility to negotiate the best deal for RMM and I dont think this is that far away from being announced - I have repeatedly said, it is my belief (lets wait and see) that any short term cash required for Ming, will come from a deal on LD
Time will tell, but having an unused asset that in my mind is worth more than RMM Mkt Cap, leaves us shareholders in a great position
Ming & LD (with very little debt) all for 40M Mkt cap - an asset strip of these is worth best part of 300M in my mind versus an exploration company looking for copper in a safe location where govt policy supports mining
This is THE biggest factor on my Risk Reward Analysis, but DYOR
Good luck all