RE: Retail Bond, 7 Years, Senior Secured, 8%11 Aug 2019 17:47
I don't understand why we consider it in terms of either the bonds will sell or not? It is not one item that simply sells or not, is it? And what if they for instance found buyers for $380m worth of bonds and they just need another $120m? That's were alternative could help. I am not an expert but couldn't it be done somehow? Announce a conditional sale to public investors (e.g. they will only be availale if II are not interested), see the potential demand and then re-launch in September. Huge demand shown amongst PI could even make it look more attractive. If it's not fully sold, the crumbs go to the public. Everybody's happy. No drama. Project continues.
As I said I am far from being an expert but if one truly has the best interest of the company in mind, one does everything to make it work and the main aim is to COLLECT the full $500m (this way or the other) therefore you look at ALL available options and work backwards from there. Please don't catch me on technicalities (I know certain things would have to be renegotiated etc) but rather think about bigger picture:
Generally, why would company fail if there are valid funding options available out there? This could be a combination of different types of bonds (for both institutions and public and some equity if necessary too, couldn't it? Whatever it takes to make it work really, right?
Unless there are people out there (and we all know human nature) who don't really want to try too hard to make it work and would rather take the contractual opportunity presented by failure to sell the bonds in September and just wait for it to collapse so that they can grab it for pennies and relaunch under the new ownership.....
I don't know anymore, but I do know one thing - don't trust the people in power when there are millions on the table.
KOH