Frr value1 Nov 2018 13:52
As I understand it we have spent £400m on exploration to get to this point. I am sure Zaza would want to recoup this amount in any deal done. This equates to 2.5p a share given the number of shares in circulation. I would expect this to be doubled within 12 months of a major deal if not before so 5p a share. After that it depends on so many factors, flow rates, pipeline construction, price of oil and gas, sale, etc. At 5p a share a MC of £788.5m is not unrealistic if the asset is as large as we believe it is. Someone has commented on it being as big nearly as Russia's biggest field. My target price is 10p a share and I expect many to bail out well before that so it could be 24-48 month wait to achieve that again depending upon II buying and many other factors. A MC of £1.5b is not unrealistic in the long term. I would also expect FRR to have moved on to Moldova within this timeframe and who knows whats there?