RE: GRH, I am offering to you a full and unreserved apology.22 Jun 2020 14:48
Thanks PS200306 for your reply
The research that I have carried out states that there is a 15% false negative, i.e. this technology will not always detect where hydrocarbons are but where it does state that hydrocarbons are present then hydrocarbons will be found. Due, I assume, to a lower signal/noise ratio where indicators are less strong.
It doesn’t really matter of course as with that sort of success rate it could still be a game changer for Sound shareholders
I have only said that I think this technology can help reduce risk of drilling more dusters.
GRH never said that the technology is 100%, he only stated that they have been 100% accurate with identifying the outcomes of 3 drills for Sound, Badile, TE-9 and TE-10.
I don't believe he has expressed an opinion to Sound on TE8 but from his posts he did tell Sound in advance about all the other drills, not afterwards as you claim, he also states that everything is auditable, he must therefore have evidence to back this claim, therefore making this more than merely anecdotal.
You mention 'your' several times in your post, this is not my technology, I am not associated with Scotforth, I just want to see a decent return on my investment and as quickly as possible. I feel the only way that this can be achieved is through the discovery of a substantial amount of commercial hydrocarbons.
We have had some wild cat drills, they all failed. Every single one of them. Badile = fail,TE8 = fail, TE9 = Fail, TE10= fail
A truly awful track record, staggering when you consider all the hype, it has cost me a large amount of money.
I am still young enough to try to rebuild my capital but from the boards it is very obvious there are many here who are much older than me and they do not have enough time or residual capital left to hang around here for many years
The market cap is £15m, as Trellis has said, £40m to £50m will be needed in order to get to the point of LNG production, there is, whatever way you look at it, going to be some form of dilution in order to get there.
At which point any value left in the TE-5 horst or elsewhere will be reduced down significantly, not only that but some form of drilling will have to happen at some point in the future anyway.
The question is, do we dilute down now, massively in order to get to LNG in a couple of years, and have no, to very little return on investment, or do we go for a drill first, which would incur far less dilution, and provide far greater upside?
Of course I do not have a crystal ball and Graham may be able to get the funding required without massive dilution but if that were the case why did they put forward the proposal for issuing as much equity as required at the last AGM, if that funding is not needed?
If we do go for a drill elsewhere on the licence area how on earth do you propose we select the right location of the next drill?
Purely on Seismic which has been wrong 4 times out of 4
or do we change tack