RE: Large kippers19 Mar 2024 23:11
"where is the value to an investor tomorrow 8am" I guess for me its the point that we know that Vlad wants to progress CBR and CDX and he cannot do it on 3mil, we can all agree that. I think at this point most of us also appreciate that a placing, even if he did a prospectus to lift the 20% limit, would not give him enough to fund CBR or CDX.
So Vlad has a few choices, he either knuckles down and pushes CAR-T ASAP, get it into trials, get a few patients treated and sells it to fund the company.
OR he looks at alternatives to pursue CBR on its own legs, which means a JV, partnership, PIPE investments, grants etc.
The first would be the best profit wise for shareholders obviously in the longer run, few months waiting, delay CBR and raise enough in one licencing deal to fund the company for years.
HOWEVER
I dont believe he will wait. WHY? Not because he is not willing to wait, I am sure he would, but because everything I have seen from Vlad is that he is risk adverse, he would be gambling that HEMO-CAR-T works, that there is no subsequent hold and there is no delay in licencing. Its higher risk, delays CBR even further and if there are problems he would have to place just to keep the lights on.
The current mCap is pathetic, might aswell be free, it would be a rounding error on the balance sheets of any of the big pharma. Yet CAR-T is close to having clinical proof making it extremely valuable with a CEO who has stated he is willing to sell as soon as he has early clinical proof.
Honestly there are people out there that know this is massively undervalued and people are buying, but there was a huge placing, and sentiment is at all time lows and LTHers have sold. But the "compelling" argument to buy Hemo right now is huge, like literally I have been adding every opportunity and will continue to do so.
Sentiment can change in a heartbeat, a seller can turn to a buyer with the click of a mouse. We have seen selling on an epic scale and its pretty much ground to a halt and now the big buys are turning up. Hemo needs NOTHING to take off other than buys to outweigh sells. If there is any sort of update that includes grants, JV, PIPE, Licencing, BARDA etc it takes off without risk of the usual attack on placing. When trials start they will draw more visibility and hopefully new investments holding for results, again giving strength to the SP.
Will the SP Slide further? Maybe, I doubt it can go much further because we are seeing larger and larger buys, the SP tanked because of a glut of discount shares, not because CAR-T failed, not because CBR failed. The science here is good, the damage is done and when the storm is gone there will be plenty of traders and investors willing to pile in to take advantage of the fire sale prices.