RE: Rise when9 Jul 2024 16:19
I am loathe to respond on this site, but i will... As MrsIndia has stated, that is an utterly random set of numbers.
Your valuing CAR-T at 25m? CDX at ONE FIFTH of that and CBR at 10mil????
CAR-T is the poor cousin of CDX, same antibody targeting same conditions HOWEVER CDX has a much broader list of indications and significantly larger target market, CDX is worth many times more than CAR-T, the only reason Hemo are progressing CAR-T first is CDX is extremely expensive to develop and test. CAR-T is a cheap and easy leap frog.
Then CBR... 10m? Err no. Its a potential cure for any virus, those of interest to the military like Ebola etc will likely get funded by Barda or someone but as a platform you can add at least 2 zeros IF it works.
By far the lowest value in the pipeline is CAR-T by a mile, HOWEVER its very easy to google licencing deals for similar candidates. You can find PRE-CLINICAL licencing deals, that is ones with ZERO trial results with upfront cash of multiples of that 25m and overall packages of 100s of millions. Licencing deals for CAR-T WITH positive trial results are often in the 500m-1bn ball park.
IF it works its worth that, if not? Its not.
There is one and only one question here that matters, will Vlad get needle in arm before the money runs out. Those of us who listened to vlad and believe him when he says he has enough for 1-3 patients believe he wont need to raise before hand.
Those who have sold/not bought in believe money will run out first.
NOBODY here knows which camp is right. Vlad believes, Google AI says it should be 2-6 months from IND submission, but reality is we are waiting for someone in a suit in Site A or Site B to lift the phone to Vlad and say, your trial has been cleared to start human trials. It could have already happened, we were told we will not find out until the first patient is injected. OR both sites may be on a go slow leading to months of delays.
Bottom line is Vlad was very clear, he was waiting for the green light, he was not given a date, days/weeks/months, NOBODY knows.