RE: Buyers1 Nov 2020 00:49
1, 1.70/1.80 is based on nothing, this is completely untested territory so it will come down to an emotional or psychological level of support, IE 2.00.
Come monday the lockdown will cause more sell off across the board so shorters may double down and try and break though resistance at £2, maybe, but considering microfocus staff can continue to work and the company continue to operate under lockdown I would say its more likely people will move money IN here to protect it from oil/transport/hospitality/construction/manufacturing/retail etc.
Anyway my personal view is we will go red monday morning just because the market will crash, we may go 209 but that will just trigger alot of buying (You could see the piling up of orders on L2 on friday it was massive..). If buying holds up and we go blue again we will see shorters closing their positions in the coming days, they have made just too much money right now to risk it. They will likely have initially been attracted by the debt issue the company had but thats been put off now until 2024, the potential big pay off is gone, they are chasing the pennies now not the pounds. I expect an update in days or weeks not months also and I will eat my hat if its not positive. I find it difficult to understand why people are waiting to buy back in because they think it may drop another 5%. Its such a tiny additional profit when you consider this share a year ago was £10 and if anything financially they are more stable now with new contracts etc making them even more attractive. When i say this about investors same thing goes for the shorters, do they think there is another 5% drop in this? MAYBE but with the risk that news drops and they face a short squeeze, OR do they go long instead now they have hit the bottom and ride the wave all the way to the top again?
Update early November and we will be bagging from current prices and shorters will be gone. But longer term dividends will return and if you have bought at these levels and remember the price you pay now the dividend rates in a year or two will probably be like 50% of what your paying today.....