RE: Share Buyback8 Sep 2024 15:10
IMO the process is repeating itself now on MOEX. If you recall, in the run up to delisting on LSE, the market was distorted with sp much lower than that on AIX and MOEX. At the time, uncertainty regards the move and sanctions meant many shareholders were running round like headless chickens not knowing what to do. This is now repeating itself on MOEX where the shares held is much smaller than was on LSE.
Issue facing the company is to make sure Russia exit is clean and decisive; and it has to be for it to relist on LSE and pay divi. For this reason the company is sweeping up the shares on MOEX instead of leaving it floating around like they did on LSE at time of terminating the listing.
During year 2023 and up to time of announcing MOEX exit in 2024, shares held in treasury barely changed (2.5m). However, since MOEX exit was announced, company have added 26m shares to treasury through buyback on MOEX and this is rising fast with another 5 weeks to go. I get the feel the company approach on MOEX will be that either holders exchange the shares or they sell up; they can’t be in between like here in UK where eg. you could still be holding old shares through likes of HL but not be a holder on AIX.
I think the company is eager to update and correct members register (which is their duty under company Articles of Association), and this can only happen with a listing on the LSE.
So, higher earnings and lower float on cancelling of shares means higher EPS. CLEAN Russia exit and relisting on LSE means accurate members register, which in turn means divis.
I think it’s all coming together…icing on the cake would be a major acquisition or new licenses.
ATB and please DYOR