RE: Hello from a lurker27 Sep 2021 12:31
Short term lurker here (started my investment journey with lockdown savings), Cineworld is my (joint) largest holding (other significant investments are Rolls Royce, Amigo Holdings and Valirx) and I have high hopes for Cineworld (seems like a pretty good risk-reward ratio compared to some of my other Covid-hit investments - RR likely lower risk and reward; Amigo/Val higher risk and not sure about reward).
Lots of chat on here around forecast share price etc, but what do people actually think the Enterprise Value is here? i.e. if we strip out the debt, the potential bad news around the Cineplex case, etc, then what is the business actually worth? I don't know what EBITDA multiples this sort of business should actually trade at, so i'm just wondering what really is best case here? AMC has an obscene valuation which I can't believe is rooted in reality and will presumably come crashing down at some point... but I assume Cineworld is still inherently undervalued at the moment. Recent highs of 120p+ are surely achievable, but where really can the underlying business support in terms of valuation.
Thoughts?