RE: opportunity to get out b4 sub 2p?11 Mar 2019 15:37
Phil,
Do what is best for you. Don't rely on anything you read or hear on a bb. Always DYOR and follow your gut instinct.
I personally believe this one is heading sub 2p in the interim, which is a sentiment I had had for a while now. My recent posts back this statement up. I can't see there being too much going on that will have the sort of effect on the share price we saw when the Shell RNS was released. Yes, Shell may decide to farm-in to Licence P2252, but at the same token, they may decide it's not for them. I also believe that even if Shell does decide to farm-in to this licence, that it will cause a short, sharp spike, followed by a drop-off - mainly because it will allow a few rogue, trapped bulls to leave the herd and spend their money elsewhere.
The bigger picture surrounding this company as far as I see it and I speak for myself when I say this, is that nothing in the way of drilling is likely to occur until some time in mid 2021 and that is only if Shell decides that drilling is worthwhile following their analysis, which is due to conclude in December 2020.
I would also be wary that CLNR will need to get hold of some funding to pay for their share of the drilling as well as operationally and by that , I mean keeping the lights on and paying wages etc.
I still stand by what I have been saying these past two years and that is Cluff should have sold this company off to one of the "big boys" rather than looking for farm-in partners and as a consequence having a long, drawn-out next 2-3 years in the hope that they have success at the drill bit. It's a long time to wait around for potential success if you ask me. The loss of P2248 hasn't been a good move for this company and what's not to say there may be other issues or red flags moving forwards that pertain to the licences.
My recommendation would be to stay well clear from investing here. From time to time, you may get lucky with the odd canny trade, but that's not really my game.