Where do we go from here?22 Dec 2025 03:24
I haven’t posted much on here recently, partly as I have been in Australia following the cricket and enjoying this amazing country. A few interesting thoughts on selling, trimming and what to do with any funds, so I would like to add my thoughts.
First and foremost each and every person is different and have their own criteria. Age, health, wealth, tax exposure, risk appetite, family needs, investment knowledge, ambition etc etc all play a part in life’s decisions, and investment portfolio management is all part of that. So if you consider all these factors and rate their importance to you, you should end up with the right decision. But don’t take advice from people on here about what to do, unless you have met them, know them, trust them and feel that their points are relevant to you.
My situation, which I regard as unique to me, is that I tend to be happy with concentrated risk if I think I know a lot about the subject and doubt that I could get the same knowledge quickly elsewhere. So my Ggp exposure has been about 80% for the last 5-7 years and most of the rest has been in PMs and their miners. I have been very right and very wrong, but my belief was such that it didn’t bother me as much as it probably should have done. I have never been a buy and hold investor, preferring to trade around any position which is because I have that background and career. I try to sell rallies and buy dips which for most PIs is very very difficult as it goes against most natural instincts. But please remember that the more a share price rises, the more your risk increases as you have more invested (don’t use amount paid as ‘invested’ but the current mkt price).
I have had some big winners and a few shockers over the years but Ggp has been by some multiple my biggest success which is handy as it’s been my biggest bet too. Slowly slowly I am in harvest mode now. This is partly due to age, IHT exposure, chance to help my wider family and friends and the opportunity to buy a place abroad. So unlike spades, and a few others I know, with large investments my holding (in shares) has dropped by half from about 1.5m. I still love ggp and still have a very unbalanced portfolio by value. Jupiter G&S has also been a fantastic investment and I am putting more money in silver miners. I have also started building a position in oil producers and quite like coal but not sure how to play it.
None of this is investment advice, but if you can address each of the criteria above and any other criteria personal to you, then you will arrive at the right decision as to where to go from here.
I will end with this personal opinion. Shaun Day is the greatest CEO I have met and known and have told him so. I have met him many times and I am happy to trust him with my financial future. I doubt any of you will meet someone as good as him. If you do, could you let me know….