RE: LC21 May 2020 20:08
All the risk on these kinds of projects are in all the up-front ‘non-recoverable’ costs that funders don’t want to know about. That means cash for the DFS, JV Management Costs, etc., etc. will all have to be found.
So I guess the answer to your question ‘how he managed to find such a lucrative asset just sitting there waiting to be pay-rolled’ was answered by your follow up sentence (dilution).
Our JV Partner was probably like a lot of miners out there, the project ready to go, but no money to get it there, there is next to no funding out there for Junior Miners. So along comes LC with the promise of a PLC and the ability to raise you the few million equity you need in order to do the last 10% before you can get real project funding. The 50% was basically a ‘farm-in’ on the basis that you take the forward looking financial risk. Actually, that side of the business doesn’t bother me, projects need capital and that is what equity markets are for, if managed right there is serious cash still to be made.
There will be 100% dilution to come here, make no mistake, but if you end up with a BoD being sensible and 500m shares in issue company in 24 months with a functioning (17,500Oz gold mine your share) is it worth it? Yes, IMHO.
The bigger issue, as you rightly raise is who will actually benefit here given LC’s past behaviour? I noticed in the annual counts that LC gave him and the BoD a 100% pay rise. Be under no doubt, that is the first of a big rise coming, LC will be on £250k a year here before two shakes of a lambs tail. Then comes the shares at depressed rates, etc. etc. etc. It is the same as Kibo, some of those assets will be a success IMHO, but not for current shareholders, LC, the BoD and Sanderson will make all the cash there.
As I say, if you had a proven deliverer in charge here, you’d probably be at 4/5p a share by now. A lot of the market will never touch this share no matter how good the news is, that’s because of the man at the helm.
JD