mer24 Aug 2012 21:17
After suffering from government cutbacks and a fractious relationship with the City, shares in social housing and care provider Mears have drifted down to ratings last seen 10 years ago. But the company has just reported record levels of activity, it is generating plenty of cash and, in the past five years, has doubled its sales and improved its earnings, yet the share price has gone sideways. Add in assured revenues and the potential for growth in its home-care business and we reckon the shares are worth buying.
During the years of Blairite public-spending profligacy, social housing maintenance was a wonderful place to be. By late 2006, Mears' shares were touching 350p, trading on a multiple of over 25 times earnings. Then came the demise of Connaught and Rok, companies occupying a similar space to Mears. As a result, investors fled. Yet throughout this Mears weathered the storm, increasing its dividend every year. It has now emerged with less competition, more business, and a better outlook.
Mears' first-half results for 2012 were encouraging, with revenue up 5 per cent to £307m and adjusted pre-tax profit up 2 per cent to £14.3m. The order book was flat at £2.7bn, yet provides for 99 per cent of 2012's expected revenues and 85 per cent of next year's.
The numbers were all the more impressive because Mears mobilised a record number of new contracts in the period, whose annual revenues will top £50m. As chief executive David Miles explains, when Mears begins a new contract its takes in start-up costs, such as buying new vans and employing staff, upfront. As a result, contracts tend to lose money in the first six months, break even in the next six; then they move into profit, hitting peak profitability around the 18-month mark. Understandably, the social housing unit, which took on all this work, reported operating profit margins down from 5.5 per cent to 5 per cent, on sales up 4 per cent to £215m.