anto28 Aug 2012 22:04
"On the face of it Serco's H1 [first half] results should not be flattering, but we believe the reasons for this have already been well flagged with the underlying growth/margin story firmly intact. We remain fans of the business and continue to believe the company is well placed to benefit from increased outsourcing activity in the UK market," said Panmure Gordon.
The broker is forecasting revenues of £2,330.5m, up 3.8% year-on-year but with the improvement entirely due to new acquisitions; on a like-for-like basis, the broker thinks sales will have shrunk by 2%.
Panmure Gordon predicts the underlying earnings before interest, tax and amortisation will be down 7.0% year-on-year (yoy) to £124.4m, while underlying profit before tax is seen tumbling 19.6% to £99.4m. "The anticipated YOY drop in EBITA should be purely driven by the £15m re-structuring charge taken above the line as indicated with underlying margin growth progressing as flagged (we anticipate these to be 6.3% vs. 6.0% last year ex re-structuring)," the broker said.
Despite the fall in profits, Panmure Gordon thinks the interim dividend will be lifted to 2.8p from 2.5p.
Peel Hunt thinks online gaming firm 888's interim results will show growth over the first half of 2011 but the second half of the year is likely to be more challenging, "given the investment in newly regulated markets and the potential disruption of the Olympics."