RE: CERP Investment Case?9 Oct 2020 16:31
Jimtheknow - even Koot hater dross picked up your ignorance of the Trinidad geology - the Saffron and subsequent drills in South West Peninsula area are targeting the type of deposits that yield lower API ( circa 20) rather than the API 30 oil produced from Goudron. Higher API comes from migrated deposits suggesting the main deposit is elsewhere -almost certainly deeper. Main deposit usually produces much higher volume and decline rate is much lower - One of the Soldado fields Offshore South West Peninsula produced 15,000 bopd average over 50 years !
Potter mentioned Sand in the vox interview and was right to do so but the context would have been Goudron field which Koot would have briefed him on. Koot spent $50,000 on a Moyno mining pump adapted for oil to test efficacy in dealing with sand clogging . Sand is not a significant problem for lower API deposits - as Saffron 1 hasn't produced from the deep target he couldn't have been talking about that !
Even on Goudron field workovers and acid wash treatment can up the bopd significantly and cost effectively - hence the revelation by Potter of third rig in VOX podcast. Goudron is an IPSC soon to become EPSC ( from latest rns ) - getting a better deal from Trinidad Government was very important to stimulate greater investment in the field and Koot had been resisting CapEx on Goudron to prove his point ( plus priority was to spend on SWP ).
Ex CERPers know the history and detail and have spent many man hours on the subject so it's easy to understand why newbies fail to grasp the fine points - devil is in the detail! The CERP motivation for shareholders was always going to be SWP development but it took too long in coming and shareholders got wary of financing the delays particularly staff costs .
Post merger CERP BOD, except Koot gone, some cash for CapEx, new deal Goudron, Saffron 2 imminent, possible sale of Ti/ increased production from CO2 looking far from a dog Jim and Arry - but think what you like - people can make up their own minds if they agree with you or perhaps BPC BOD and me and to a certain extent - even dross!