Thoughts on the RNS today.9 May 2019 12:21
Aside from the confirmation on oil and gas revenues covering costs, and possible N2 sales progress, today’s RNS is a very positive one.
A conservative look at the new data released this morning.
Prior to this mornings release the Zoetic operation targeted the following for 2019:
50,000 outdoor plants with an targeted yield of 30 grams of CBD per plant.
40,000 indoor plants with a targeted yield of 12 grams of CBD per plant.
It is my belief those values did not include the potential yield increase from the use of the gas mix..
At indicative $3 a gram wholesale prices, assuming the crops all grew OK, but then with no yield increase factored in, the revenues were around ~$6m from wholesale CBD, that could have been expected.
50,000 * 30 * 3 = $4,500,000
40,000 * 12 * 3 = $1,440,000
If we now assume (without any further clarification on numbers) that outdoors we were to drop to 16 acres from 20 acres, and indoors we were to have 3 harvests of 10,000 plants.
40,000 * 30 * 3 = $3,600,000
30,000 * 12 * 3 = $1,080,000
Then you are looking at $4.68m
But now add in the seeds aspect of the RNS:
10,000 plants * 3 seasons * 500+ seeds at up to $1 a seed. 15,000,000 seeds.
So even at 50c a seed that would be a further $7.5m from seed revenue.
So we could now be looking at $12.18m in revenues from these operations from seeds and wholesale CBD alone.
This is not catering for any uplift in increased density planting outside (so assuming we are reducing outdoor plants this year) or any uplift in yields due to gas use, and sticking to just 3 harvests/seasons indoors.
It also excludes any revenues from any of the other products sold under the Zoetic brand or smokeable products.
Assuming my numbers calculated on the iPhone are reasonable and valid, this is a significant improvement to the 2019 Zoetic business case, even with just these conservative estimates.
It would also enable us to plant outdoors in 2020 using our own seeds.
There is no guarantee our products will take off quickly, they could, they may not, but IMHO wholesale CBD and now seed production numbers should speak for themselves, anything from retail or Zoetic branded operations just make the baseline numbers look even better.
Very happy with the speed in which this business is developing, and further confirmation on progress during the months ahead will hopefully just improve that!