RE: Bought in yesterday 😎👍6 Nov 2024 14:08
"Im struggling to understand how you can’t see what’s in store for BTC and all mining companies for the next couple of years…."
And I'm struggling to understand how you can't see that ARB will not be around in a couple of years. It has old machines , is low on cash so can't afford to replace them, that money (including its 2 - yes TWO - BTC) will run out soon as its outgo exceeds its income (and will continue to do so even if BTC reaches $100k) and all that is even before considering the favourable hosting agreement with Galaxy that is coming to an end soon.
Yes, they have done well to survive but they only managed to do that when the sp was under 3p because they did the unthinkable and sold their prize asset (Helios) and some of their unused machines for knock down prices. They have no more assets left to sell so when the money runs out this time it runs out - unless they do a raise (which will dilute significantly and not raise much anyway) or get somebody daft enough to lend them money (which they can't pay back - just like they can't pay back the existing bonds they already have). They have been managed well since they crashed so kudos to Chippas but it's been damage limitation only.
And yes the latest RNS was much better but the $3m revenue was predictable (as in fact I did predict it) but that's where the revenue probably peaks I'm afraid.
So there are still trades to be had and you may even get your 17p (though I doubt it) but a four bagger from here is in my view completely impossible and you can hold me to that. As you can the slim to no chance I think they have of surviving 12 months for the reasons given above.
However, happy to be proved wrong if you can come up with a plausible scenario backed up with numbers of how ARB can survive and thrive as a business. This is a challenge that has been thrown out from various of us to many newbie rampers but not one has come back with anything beyond BTC booming (which is not nearly enough on its own to rescue them). So I won't be holding my breath...