RE: Ocelot, it is in no one's interest !!!14 Aug 2024 09:40
Simon, you point out that the details of the Trafigura £20m loan are not entirely known. Not quite true - what was unknown for a long while was the nature of the replacement hedge arrangements (finally clarified in the HY report) and what remains unknown are the terms of the offtake agreement with Trafigura. The terms revolving directly around the loan itself are generally known.
And (unless that offtake agreement is particularly usurious) it should be remembered that those loan terms are somewhat less onerous than the previous eye-watering Mercuria/Aleph arrangement - though the eternal 8% royalty due to those two on all gross revenues from existing wells persists, unfortunately.
So no, I don't think Trafigura is a "bad" lender at all - I think it's a very smart and capable lender. And as such, I am beyond certain that it will have ensured that any capital lent is not at risk in any way.
It has of course achieved that by means of surety, i.e. charge over the company's assets - which in one way is encouraging, in that it ascribes a minimum presumed value to said assets. Bu of course - exactly as with a property that's been mortgaged - there's a world of difference between the simple vanilla value of an asset and its net value to the owner.