Corporate activity17 Mar 2023 09:17
I have not posted for a while, reading the Annual Report I feel there has finally been a recognition from the company that the market is pricing in placings and this is destroying the value that they have created both in Senegal and Cameroon.
I think the above is a major see change from the, dare I say, arrogance of previous interviews where it was suggested they know best and dilution was not an issue.
Another aspect is, finally, they have openly stated they are seeking a JV partner for Cameroon, that funding at project level is now the preferred option as opposed to equity dilution. I think this a material change of policy, much needed, the market, so far, has not latched on.
It has been a month since they stated they had discussions with 10+ major mining groups about Cameroon, recent vibes from Eileen Carr imply they are working on corporate activity which could mean a JV.
Any JV deal would usually come with cash up front, often covers historic spend, in ORR's case around £4m for Cameroon, the JV partner would then pay for exploration spend for a stake percentage.
I still maintain that a JV announcement must be reasonably imminent, why you may ask, simply because as drilling season approaches ORR needs money and they have more or less implied it will not come via equity.
I have been buying ORR at current levels whilst it is quiet, a good example of what might come is the deal Tembo Gold progressed with African Barrack, at the time Tembo was valued at only $3m the deal propelled the market cap 10 fold, Tembo had links to Stratex directors, they probably are still in contact with ORR - I suspect AB are favourites as ORR JV partners therefore.
Here is the Tembo RNS that brought Barrack into the project
https://tembogold.com/tembo-gold-enters-agreement-with-barrick-gold-for-sale-of-non-core-licences-and-equity-investment/
At some point ORR will deliver significant upside, this time around they have to deliver a JV deal as they have no real alternative, as I say a see change in policy, much welcomed.