RE: GoTrader4 Feb 2016 21:07
Okay trying some number crunching. Not easy!!! Reported Ebitda for 2014 was 671,363. So more than double that would be 1.4M+. Headline Ebitda for 2014 was 2,189,444. Add on 17% it comes to 2.56M. I didn't understand the 40% gain on second half. I assume this meant for June -Dec. 828x1.4 comes closer to 1.159M.
We know they lost 1.5M in first half of year. Mainly due to 1,377,027 Depreciation & Amortisation. Question is does the profit from operations in second half of year outweigh costs for closing European offices. These costs could come in at 0.5M (est.) or more? Not sure how many staff they had? So a loss for 2015 is very likely but expected due to the big changes going on. Mostly a paper loss.
Gross profit last year was circa 19.4M. So 21.5M gross profit this year. Hard to know how much of this is down to PPS, Publicasity and Redleaf which were mostly not included in 2014 results. So maybe revenues of 27M-30M for year might be fair.
Certainly for 2016 you can say that costs should be 1M lower and we can remove these one off restructuring costs. Which could make breaking even for 2016 possible. I think as the groups come together and underperforming units close this group could take off quickly.
Time for someone to shoot down my figures. I had to do a lot of searching to try and make any reasonable figures possible.