RE: 50k buyer17 Apr 2025 11:01
Agree CJ Ive tried trading and if you are super patient and know your macros, you can do quite well (e.g. anyone who bought rare earths or gold at pretty much any point in the last 6 months has made money, with most companies reaching yearly highs)
However, the true money is made in positioning, adding, waiting and then reaping the reward. An extremely difficult thing to do, for stocks that can be bought and sold so easily by the push of a button on a mobile device. Pensions, a little bit easier to manage (believe it or not) because they are a set and forget type process.
Ultimately, as the famous quote goes, there are three ways to make money. Be right, be first or cheat. (and none of us here cheat) and it sure is a lot easier to just be first, and you can only be first by looking as far ahead as possible and predicting future economics, which every person on this board has done beautifully. (Kudos to Bonker for also predicting the aggressive gold move)
My next prediction is quite simple
Gallium, Germanium and Antimony skyrocketed (100%) in the 6 months post export restrictions, several RE's have just been placed under the same umbrella, the prices for these individual elements will do a similar move, if not even HIGHER due to the fact the US is trying to cut off trade routes, not just China.
What that will mean, is Songwe Hill RE project will become extremely valuable again (based on the basket case) not to mention oil is at yearly lows (whereas when we did the DFS I believe it was quite high) so that offsets the extremely high RE prices in our DFS. (Pulawy also helps) it doesn't offset it completely, but it Ofc certainly helps. The magnets will also become a lot more expensive in the medium term.
What I am less sure of, but it could happen as soon as next week, is if Trump will put tariffs on permanent magnets, but I am not sure if that would be a short term disaster for US big tech, but either way your not getting them out of china now regardless, so he might play 'hard ball' without actually landing a punch.
My uncertain prediction is