RE: Half Year28 Dec 2023 13:48
There must be a lot of pent up demand from consumers rushing for ex-China supply. TG seems to be in the position of requiring some financing for a quite straight forward purpose of reaching 36,000tpa steady state production and sales that I see stated in the future outlook and strategy section of the report as below:
Step 1. Add 2 PCUs to ramp up to 2,000tpm/6,000tpq at the 3% grade they are mining ASAP.
Step 2. Add a further 2 PCUs and expand Vatomina from 12,000 to 18,000tpa to achieve 3,000tpm/9,000tpq (totalling 36,000tpa across Vatomina and Sahamamy 2 x 18,000tpa facilities)
If the company can provide good insight into its order book and the sales opportunities they have then raising money, which I would not think requires that much, should be well achievable, especially given the de-risked element of being in production already etc. Indeed, an offtake or MoU or anything like that would provide much greater confidence in the company’s sales pipeline as also mentioned by someone else below. A good bank with a fair risk appetite could possibly provide a credit line if not a direct lender, or convertible debt as also mentioned in the report if necessary.
Following that the report talks about targeting 104,000tpa production and sales with 54,000tpa in Madagascar and 50,000tpa in Mozambique at Montepuez - the mentioned engagement with DFIs will probably come in handy for that purpose. Given the company’s stated strategy is to grow in modular step by step fashion in line with market demand, one would assume this means they are lining up some decent demand from consumers.
GLA, DYOR