I made a mistake in my previous calculation. Yesterday's RNS said "United's net production from the Abu Sennan asset as a whole likely to rise to over 2,500 boepd in the coming weeks"
6600 per month is hedged. 2500 per day is 75,000 per month, so 68,400 un-hedged:
(6600 x $60) + (68400 x $40) = $3.13M per month x 0.43 = 1.35M less (75000 x 6.5) = $860K Which is £660K per month £7.9M PA gross profit
I am reading Badger's posts since he told me about the 57% charge. I didn't know about that because it doesn't say it in the accounts which I read on Sunday.
2500 boepd @ $60 per barrel with $6.5 costs = $133,750 per day After EGPC takes 57% that's $57,513 For UOG thats $12,653 per day $4.6M PA About £3.5M PA Gross profit.
Admin expenses circa £2M.
Net profit £1.5M PA
Fair mcap should then be approx £22.5M on this basis alone. Currently £9M.
Yesterday's RNS implies that boepd will increase to 8700. That would make gross profit £12M PA, net profit circa £10M. SO all I see is decent downside but impressive upside.
This doesn't even touch the revenues from Italy.
And I'm leaving out Jamaica too due to uncertainty.
Say a company had a license on land with no resources, but the exclusive option to apply for a license on the flanks with an estimated 25M oz of PGM. How much would that be worth?
I think this should be added to all calculations of the value of 15M oz.
M&A could refer to the entire company or to one or more of the subsidiaries. EUA doesn't own MT directly, it owns 80% of the subsidiary company that owns MT.