July’s production forecast20 Jul 2021 17:02
I opined the other day that as we had produced 55.6 tons in 17 working days in June, and that the average production for April and May had been 2 tons per day, that with only 5 of the 17 June days having been in the high grade ore that if we had produced 2 tons per day for 12 days that we must have produced on average 6.32 tons per day for the 5 days of Working in the high grade ore.
I then said that if that were they case then in the 22 working days in July we should produce 139 tons, all of which is logical and reasonable, however, what I had not considered was the possibility that for the 5 days they only fed high grade ore through, whereas going forward they may well have to feed a mixture of low, medium and high grade ore through the plant and depending upon the percentage of each grade we may get less than the 139 tons I had hoped for In July and the 410 tons I had hoped for in Q3.
So, I have recalculated and if we get 5 tons per day as an average that would give us 110 tons in July and 325 tons for Q3 - these figures would put us on target to achieving the 880 - 1000 tons for the year.
My guesstimate / forecast for July’s production is therefore 110 tons ;-)